New Statesman · 15 Nov 2026
Who would win a general election today? What the Britain Predicts model says
Who would win a general election held today? Would anyone? Forecasting which party will hold the keys to No 10 has never been more difficult. “Burnham Bounce” or not, we are in an era of five-party politics. Votes may pile up into one camp or another, but we’ve never seen the country as split as it is today.
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